The latest barometer from Spain’s Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (CIS) reveals a shifting political landscape, with the PSOE strengthening its lead as the nation’s most popular party.
If general elections were held today, the Socialist Party would secure 34.2% of the vote, a modest gain of 0.2 points. Meanwhile, the opposition Partido Popular (PP) has taken a hit, dropping from 31.5% to 29.3%—its second-lowest result since May 2023.
This decline marks the first CIS election poll conducted after the controversial handling of the recent DANA (isolated high-altitude depression) by Carlos Mazón, president of Valencia’s regional government. The backlash appears to have dented the PP’s credibility, sparking criticism across Spain. The poll, conducted between November 2 and 7, sampled over 4,000 respondents.
Sumar and Vox on the rise
Despite the ongoing ‘Caso Errejón’, Sumar—the left-wing alliance—has experienced unexpected growth in this election poll, rising from 6.3% to 7%. Similarly, the far-right Vox continues its upward trend, reaching 11.8% support. These developments highlight the fluid dynamics in Spain’s political spectrum, with smaller parties gradually consolidating influence.
Podemos shows a slight improvement, climbing to 3.4%, while the fledgling Se acabó la fiesta edges up to 2%. However, Alvise Pérez’s party remains below its peak performance in September. Regional forces also see notable shifts: Junts surpasses ERC, gaining 1.7%, and Bildu overtakes PNV with 1%.
Political concerns top Spaniards’ agenda
The political turbulence following the DANA has heightened Spaniards’ anxiety about governance. Political problems now rank as the nation’s primary concern, cited by 23.8% of respondents—up 5.2 points from October. This marks the second-highest percentage of the year after January’s 24.3%.
Housing remains a pressing issue, identified by 22.5% of participants. While slightly down from last month, it has climbed to the second spot among national worries.
With elections potentially looming, these findings underscore the challenges facing Spain’s political leaders as they seek to rebuild public trust in an increasingly polarised climate.
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